Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008523 0.009606 0.010794 0.012197 0.013810 0.015614 0.017790
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006881 0.008362 0.010131 0.012414 0.015304 0.018866 0.023631
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005895 0.007521 0.009576 0.012391 0.016189 0.021200 0.028411
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005014 0.006640 0.008785 0.011862 0.016232 0.022317 0.031614
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004495 0.006149 0.008415 0.011802 0.016836 0.024199 0.036084
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004267 0.006017 0.008503 0.012368 0.018370 0.027582 0.043283
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003805 0.005496 0.007967 0.011931 0.018309 0.028487 0.046632
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003446 0.005089 0.007552 0.011620 0.018384 0.029583 0.050417
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003213 0.004847 0.007360 0.011630 0.018967 0.031569 0.056043
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003117 0.004808 0.007476 0.012147 0.020454 0.035288 0.065457
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002910 0.004570 0.007248 0.012054 0.020850 0.037084 0.071424
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002763 0.004418 0.007145 0.012161 0.021612 0.039643 0.079352
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002557 0.004158 0.006850 0.011917 0.021728 0.041054 0.085296
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002445 0.004050 0.006809 0.012138 0.022779 0.044502 0.096478
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002307 0.003884 0.006649 0.012115 0.023332 0.046990 0.105930
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002112 0.003602 0.006256 0.011599 0.022812 0.047088 0.109599
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001998 0.003457 0.006102 0.011541 0.023243 0.049354 0.119201
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001971 0.003470 0.006245 0.012093 0.025062 0.055072 0.139175
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001828 0.003254 0.005931 0.011667 0.024647 0.055423 0.144443
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001710 0.003080 0.005686 0.011363 0.024475 0.056349 0.151579
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001637 0.002985 0.005591 0.011373 0.025041 0.059214 0.165167
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001620 0.002999 0.005715 0.011877 0.026855 0.065615 0.191403
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001545 0.002891 0.005580 0.011786 0.027189 0.068101 0.205596